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Computer Analysis in Sports

To start a discussion how come computer rankings for college football take such a beating, yet statistical mavens are the big think in football? Sabermetricians are hot, while the BCS is not. What gives?

UPDATE: To help you with what I'm interested in here a portion of Gerry Fraley's op-ed critical of computer rankings:

As long as squeezing fractions is involved, the BCS will overlook clear thinking for the sake of numbers and mishandle the situation.

A dose of clear thinking would have been helpful here.

Then there's the praise of Michael Lewis' Moneyball where he tells the story of Oakland's Billy Beane and his use of sabermetrics.

But there is also criticisms of sabermetrics like those of John Royal.

This should help get things rolling.

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Comments (3)

Statistical mavens and Sabe... (Below threshold)

Statistical mavens and Sabermetricians are mostly evaluating players to make objective personnel decisions and evaluating teams just for the sake of argument. The BCS, on the other hand, is being used to determine who plays for a championship (instead of a playoff system). There would be plenty of outrage if major league baseball eliminated their playoffs and allowed Sabermetricians to choose one AL team and one NL team to play in the World Series.

I tend to agree with Andrew... (Below threshold)
Cam:

I tend to agree with Andrew. One's a macro approach (football), one's a micro approach (baseball). Baseball tends to lend itself to obscure and obtuse statistics, where football tends to rely more on more basic statistics (pancake blocks not included).

What's more puzzling to me is why I find baseball more interesting than football, despite the fact that I'm a complete ignoramus when it comes to all things mathmatical.

But how is sabermetrics any... (Below threshold)

But how is sabermetrics any more "objective" than the computer rankings used in the BCS?

And how come there doesn't seem to be an explanation for why Beane-ball works during the season, but not in the playoffs?


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