Somehow the specifics of this escaped me:
The Chiefs have finished even or better in the giveaway/takeaway department in seven out of eight games and lost the turnover battle just once, in their 24-23 week five win over Denver.
No big deal, huh?
Well, combine that with this:
teams that finish a game plus-one or better stand a 72.6 percent chance of winning while teams that finish minus-one or worse win only 18 percent of the time.
So KC should be 7-1, and only luck let them beat the Broncos? Did you see that game? Did you see how fumbles kept bouncing back into Bronco's hands without a Chief even getting a chance to try and jump on it? And you say the Chiefs were lucky?
Well, I don't know what the stat is for winning a game when you have a return TD, but that raises your percentages, as well. So when you combine the return TDs with an offense that's #1 in the league in scoring, a defense that's top-ten in preventing scores, and the NFL's lead in takeaways (particularly when it is a consistent ability like it is with KC), and you get an 8-0 team.
The more I read, the more I think 16-0 might be possible. Then again, I am an optimist.
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